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Prepared by and Scott
Writing under the nom de plume of J.L. LORD

Friday | December 20, 2019

Hello Mayumi.



YESTERDAY: December 19

Despite the impeachment, the E-minis opened slightly lower, and the SPX cash opened slightly higher. With all the earmarks of the SPX looking like it was going to hide under the 3,200 line in wait, we had a late morning breaking through of the barrier in the SPX cash.

People ignored the impeachment of President Trump, especially after Nancy Pelosi refused to deliver the impeachment articles to the Senate. Late in the morning, Secretary Mnuchin got on TV and said he was highly confident that the USMCA would pass later in the day, and it would add 0.5% to our GDP next year. After that announcement, the SPX broke through the 3200 line, and didn't test it. The SPX stayed above 3,200, and closed in a last minute jump higher at the highs of the day.

SPX closed a 3,205.37 (+0.45%).

The Dow closed at 28.376.96 (137.69).

TSLA closed at 404.04, higher by another 10.89 points. This is eerily close to the magic $420 price Elon Musk claimed he had funding for in a buyout.


TODAY: December 20

We are in a period of holiday trading. Christmas is next Wednesday with the preceding Tuesday being a ½ day of trading. The following week is New Years. This is traditionally a boring but positive time for the markets. Yet, there are a lot of things that are starting to concern me. Almost every day you read this, you see that I may be bearish on a given day, I am almost always bullish over the course of days, weeks and months. I am starting to get a little nervous about a market drop. Skew is in the ground. The VIX is low. Though everyone has a negative view of this bull market and are without enthusiasm, complacency is high nonetheless.

We probably will escape the holidays without pain, but the new year may start out very messy. I am no longer on a soap box preaching the virtues of this bull.


2019: MUCH HIGHER FROM HERE (2506.85 SPX) – (prediction made January 2, 2019) but not a straight line, and not without some volatility. Trump WILL get his wall. China will buckle and blink first. The Fed will go back on their medication, and spend time thinking about what they say (before saying it).

ARE ANY OF THESE COMING TRUE? Look at the exact words I said about “blinking first” a year ago.

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