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Prepared by StratagemTRADE.com and Scott
Writing under the nom de plume of J.L. LORD

Monday | December 30, 2019

Hello Mayumi.

YESTERDAY'S CLOSING PRICES

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NEW YEAR - 20/20

POT CLASS: Last Friday night was out POT class that we gave a sneak peak into POT 20/20. My big MORNING UPDATE on the events will come out on NEW YEARS DAY (as is custom).

This is a very much in demand update as I give out details on what classes will be held, when books will be done, and what the POT 20/20 class goals are. Things have changed here.

PREDICTIONS: One thing people love to see is my predictions for the year. Every year I make predictions – only because I am stupid. There is nothing to gain from it, and a lot to lose. The first two weeks of the year, I have people unsubscribing to the newsletter with nasty-grams along the lines of “You are nuts”, “you are a tool”, etc.

Threats

Some of the most venomous comments came when I predicted the Brexit would happen. Even more was when I said that Trump would win the White House. What people didn't understand was how pissed the country was at politicians, and they wanted a non-politician to be a politician. They didn't understand that Trump was on the debate stage with 17 career republican politicians who wanted to win. It would be a dream to win. Trump looks at things different – he refuses to lose.

Then when they said he can't beat Hillary, I laughed. When Rachael said “there is no path to 270, I told our students I am guessing he will get 300+. This was simple math. If you saw how the polls were done, it was easy math. Hillary was ahead by 12 points in polls where 80% of those surveyed were registered democrats. Just so you know....I also though Obama was going to win, even though I thought he would accomplish nothing.

LAST YEAR

If you look at every MORNING REPORT from December 31, 2018, you will see the same prediction through the year. Let me break this down for you:

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1 – Much higher.

We are up over 29%. We are 7 SPX points away from having the largest run higher since 1997.

2 – Wall

It is not done, but it is going up at the rate of 1 mile per/day, which is a lot considering how he has the opposing party trying to stop the construction. It will be done by the end of his second term. (opps – the is one of my 20/20 predictions).

3 – China will blink first.

China DID blink. As a matter of fact, those are the exact words the media used 8 months later on August 6 in FOX, CNBC, CNN, etc.

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4- The Fed will go back on their medication.

Powell stopped trying to be the smartest and most independent Fed governor. Leading up to this prediction, the Fed had just crashed the market 20% with their terms “far from neutral”. Three days earlier, the Fed stole Christmas was a major drop. Since this, we have not had the Fed sink the market one time. Probably my most accurate prediction.

5 – Trump will not stop tweeting.

Get ready for my 20/20 predictions coming out on Jan 1.

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YESTERDAY: December 27

Friday's markets had a little more excitement than we have seen for the previous two week, but it came only during the open and the close. For the most part, the market was calm, and all the normal big moves (AAPL, TSLA, BA, and AMD) were very quiet. Not one of the normal stocks that have been moving many dollars per day even moved $1.

The SPX opened on the highs with the index higher by $8.02 at 3,247.93 – setting another record. We backed off down to the unchanged line in the first 30 minutes where we sat slightly in the GREEN. On the close, a sell program came in taking the Minis down -5, and then right back up. We saw the cash settle higher by a mere 0.11, but the futures fell 5 points again after cash closed.

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TODAY: December 30

Friday's selling of futures on the close could be taken as bearish or a fluke. I am guessing it was a messed up “program trade”, or just a sell program for a fund manager to lock in some profits on the year. Heck, up 29% is not bad. This means that the minis should bounce by $5, all things being equal. And if the Minis are up +5, the cash will be about unchanged (because of the difference in time when the cash and futures closed on Friday).

Obviously, news will change things from here – bullish or bearish – but absent news, we will see an +5 point move high in the minis and SPX unchanged.

2019 ONE-YEAR PREDICTION: MUCH HIGHER (+29% so far)

2019: MUCH HIGHER FROM HERE (2506.85 SPX) – (prediction made January 2, 2019) but not a straight line, and not without some volatility. Trump WILL get his wall. China will buckle and blink first. The Fed will go back on their medication, and spend time thinking about what they say (before saying it).

ARE ANY OF THESE COMING TRUE? Look at the exact words I said about “blinking first” a year ago.

POT Logo


FRIDAY'S POT CLASS

The recording is up. Everyone is invited to listen to the recording, though I had the flu and sounded awful. If I was healthy I would have to charge – lol.

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DISCUSSION BOARD

Up and Running for POT students (so far).

Really quickly...

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P.O.T. Schedule

To come...

LAUGH OF THE DAY

Trading is a tough job on a stomach void of coffee and humor.
You provide the coffee and we will take care of the rest.

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Disclaimer

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