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Prepared by and Scott
Writing under the nom de plume of J.L. LORD

Tuesday | July 28, 2020

Hello Eizell.




It was a surprisingly quiet day given how busy of a week it is going to be. The market opened down -1.38 SPX points, and then it climbed to the predictable 3233 area we have been hypnotized with for 3-4 weeks. The 3233 line was about $18 points higher, and where the market rest for 90 minutes before falling. Once the market started its decline, it made a higher-low of 3220 and bounced upward again. The bounce started its climb to the closing of the day where cash settle at 3239.41.

Much of the strength in the markets came from a very strong AAPL stock (closing up $8.78, or 2.8%) and talks of another covid stimulus package that could be approved in the next 24-48 hours. It is the same stimulus package that is making the US dollar fall and gold prices to rise.


TODAY: July 28

TODAY – Higher.

LONG TERM – NEW ALL TIME HIGHS (possibly), and then a NASTY trade war sell-off – probably after the election.

We have a VERY big week ahead of us. About 200/500 S&P stocks report this week. We also have the outcome of another round of covid bailouts that could be for as much as $1 trillion. The dispute is between $600 and $100 per month.

I am still standing by my prediction (made December 31, 2019) that we will be positive for the year and making new all-time highs by the end of the year. I maintained this stance even when the SPX was down -35% for the year (this has been here since January 1).

S&P 500 Price Limits

From 8:30 a.m. to 2:25 p.m. CST, there are successive price limits corresponding to 7%, 13%, and 20% declines below the previous trading day’s reference price.

From 2:25 p.m. until the 3:00 p.m. CST close of the cash equity market, only the 20% price limit will be applicable.

Average year with lots of intermittent volatility
(0.27% so far)

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