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Annual Thanksgiving Sale

Prepared by StratagemTRADE.com and Scott
Writing under the nom de plume of J.L. LORD

Tuesday | December 3, 2019

Hello Mayumi.

Annual Thanksgiving Sale

YESTERDAY'S CLOSING PRICES

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YESTERDAY: December 2

In yesterday's MORNING COFFEE REPORT, I stated that the market would open higher by about +12 points, the same number we fell on Friday because of China news. Little did I know that President Trump would threaten tariffs on two new fronts—Argentina and Brazil. The President is claiming that the countries are manipulating their currency to get an unfair advantage over the US. Truth be told, the countries have major issues and that is why their currencies are free-falling.

Prior to the open, the Minis were up +10 points (not the 12 points I was expecting), but the news took the Minis down to unchanged.

OPEN

After the open, the SPX fell -8 points on the tariff news. Thirty minutes (30 min) after the open, the ISM manufacturing numbers and construction spending numbers came out horrendous. This took the Minis lower to a net change of -$22. The rest of the day, the Minis stayed at that level and lower, with the lows being -30.22.

CLOSE

The end of the day saw an attempt to run higher, but that was stuffed lower. The SPX closed down -27.11 (-0.86%). The Dow closed down -268.37 at 27,783.04 (-0.96%). THIS WAS THE FIRST DAY IN 36 DAYS that the market closed down more than 0.5%.

Interestingly, bonds were hammered down by -2.11 (-1.5%) at 138.31 as measured in the TLT.

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TODAY: December 3

I suspect that yesterday's drop was just a normal back-peddle to a very strong series of runs higher. I think the action in the market today will give more of a sense of what is going on.

2019 ONE-YEAR PREDICTION: MUCH HIGHER (+25% so far)

2019: MUCH HIGHER FROM HERE (2506.85 SPX) – (prediction made January 2, 2019) but not a straight line, and not without some volatility. Trump WILL get his wall. China will buckle and blink first. The Fed will go back on their medication, and spend time thinking about what they say (before saying it).

ARE ANY OF THESE COMING TRUE? Look at the exact words I said about “blinking first” a year ago.

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A separate update is coming.

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LAUGH OF THE DAY

Trading is a tough job on a stomach void of coffee and humor.
You provide the coffee and we will take care of the rest.

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