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Prepared by and Scott
Writing under the nom de plume of J.L. LORD

Monday | December 9, 2019

Hello Mayumi.



YESTERDAY: December 6

Strong economic numbers and renewed hope in a successful trade deal allowed the SPX to go higher by 17.19 points, and they keep going. The market found an equilibrium point in a range of 3145 to 3150. The high of the day of 3150.60 (+33.17) was tested a few times, but the range stuck. Even in the last 20 minutes, the SPX saw an attempt to close at higher levels, but that failed. Running out of forward momentum, the SPX settled at the lower end of the day's equilibrium level of 3145.91.


AAPL closed up 5.13 (1.9%) on reports that their ear phones were in short supply. The stock made a new 52-week high of 271.

BA – Boeing (BA) made a small bounce after two weeks of heavy pressure to the downside. The stock closed up 8.41 (2.4%) at 354.09.

VIX – The VIX fell 0.90, but is starting to get sticky near the lows of 13.62.


TODAY: December 9

The SPX did not close at the highs of the day, which is often an indication a tiny drop the following day may occur. The other side of the coin is the SPX got within 4 points of the all-time highs, and is only $8 away from those highs of 3154.26. Any touching of 3156.26 will probably result in a temporary selling pressure, but I expect this to be breached soon. As a matter of fact, good news on China will likely cause massive capitulation buying, which should then result in the first good opportunity to get short deltas. In the mean time, however, you can't fight this trend.


2019: MUCH HIGHER FROM HERE (2506.85 SPX) – (prediction made January 2, 2019) but not a straight line, and not without some volatility. Trump WILL get his wall. China will buckle and blink first. The Fed will go back on their medication, and spend time thinking about what they say (before saying it).

ARE ANY OF THESE COMING TRUE? Look at the exact words I said about “blinking first” a year ago.

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